Because this 时事热点Asia -Ama war ended within 24 hours, the war ended with the defeat of Armenia, so many people blame it to the Armenian wall grass.
What does that mean?That is to say, Armenia falls to the West, so Russia refuses to reach out to save it.In fact, things can't really look at it like this.
At the beginning of the Russian and Ukraine War, when Ji'an was planning to perform in the Armenian army, Armenia chose to refuse.At this time, some people began to say that Armenia was a wall, but Russia took the lead in understanding.
Why understand?If you don't understand it, you can't understand it!Armenia is really important for Russia!Even if the wall is grass, it depends on which party is strong, and it will fall to which party, rather than resolutely follow the United States and the West.If Russia performs well, Armenia will not go.So why is Armenia is crucial to Russia?
Armenia is the only partner in Russia in Caucasus.
There are 3 countries in the Gaoto Caucasus, namely Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan.
The relationship between Georgia and Russia is just like Ukraine and Russia, which has fallen to freezing.When independence was independent in 1991, Georgia had three sites with the support of Russia, and also planned to leave Georgia and build their own countries, namely Abuhaz, South Oussem ladder, and Azar.
After multiple negotiations, in 2004, Georgia successfully recovered Azar's dominance.But the Abuhaz and South Ossean ladder in the north are still firmly in the hands of Russia.
Russia also acknowledges their independence, in short, it is not to let Georgia's territory complete.Why do Russia have to do that?It is not necessarily the two sites of these two sites. I think there are two reasons:
First, Abuhaz relied on the Black Sea. If Russia wants to return to the Black Sea,You have to get as much as possible to get the territory along the coast of the Black Sea.
Second, do not let Georgia join NATO, as long as Georgia and neighbor have territorial disputes,Then they cannot join NATO. This is to drag it, so as not to let NATO come to their south gate.
Anyway, the relationship between Georgia and Russia was completely ruptured.After the two sides played in 2008, they directly announced that they had broken diplomatic relations, and so far there is no possibility of shaking hands.
Azerbaijana had a relationship with Russia, why did both sides crash?
First, since Azerbaijan has opened up two oil and gas pipelines directly to Turkey, the relationship between the two sides has also begun to be bad.why?It turned out that the oil and gas in Azerbaijan had been sold to Russia at a low price in the past, and Russia was sold to Europe to earn a difference.Now that Azerbaijan wants to make money by itself, can you say that Russia can be happy?
Second, Russia has always supported Armenia,As a result, the relationship between Azerbaijan and Russia is becoming more and more tense.
Third, the relationship between Azerbaijan and Türkiye is a brother,Russia has not dealt with Turkey since ancient times, and both are competing for the control of the Black Sea.
Therefore, the relationship between Azerbaijan and Russia has also collapsed.Therefore, in Russia in the Caucasus region, only Armenia is a small partner. If this little partner is lost, Russia will completely lose the outer Caucasus.
For Russia, Foreign Caucasus is as important as life.
The Gaomoto region has merged into Tsarist Russia as early as the beginning of the 19th century, becoming part of Russia.At that time, Tsarist Russia was vital to fight for the status of Black Sea Uelast with Ottoman Turkey.
After the annihilation of Russia in 1917, after the establishment of the Soviet Union and the Soviet Union, the Caucasus region once again entered the Soviet Union in the form of federal.
At that time, the Soviet Union was too good, and the scope of power spread to two -thirds of the Black Sea coast. If Turkey had not joined NATO early, the Soviet Union would have become the hegemon of the Black Sea.
The problem lies in Türkiye's joining NATO.
Turkey's predecessor, Ottoman Turkey, has been rubbing on the ground by Tsarist Russia. After World War II, Turkey was almost incorporated into the sphere of influence of the Soviet Union.The painful Turkey decided not to make wall grass, and decisively fell to NATO.
After falling to NATO, the Soviet Union was depressed.The only exit of the Black Sea to the Mediterranean was occupied by NATO member states, and this day could not be passed.
Fortunately, the Soviet Union was strong at that time, and NATO did not dare to provoke it. The two sides formed a balanced trend.
However, after the laid laid off of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia's strength was completely incomparable with the Soviet Union.They want to maintain a balance between NATO, it is hard to reach the sky.
From pioneering and aggressive, to protecting themselves, Russia understands that they only have two ways to go.
First, join NATO, you ca n’t beat your opponent, then join your opponentThis is the easiest way.
Second, keep a certain distance from NATO,This is a helpless move.
To this end, Russia has applied for joining NATO four times, but has been rejected.Why?Lao Mei said: You have joined NATO, NATO has no imaginary enemies, so you can play a ball!
That Russia can only take the second way.That is, Stalin's idea of building an oriental front during World War II.In the name of preventing NATO from the east expansion, the younger brothers around them are incorporated into their own sphere of influence.Even if this cannot be done, it cannot be let the younger brothers fall to NATO.
There is a rule in NATO that countries with disputes in territories are temporarily not worthy of joining NATO.For this reason, Russia only needs to occupy the sites of the surrounding younger brothers. From time to time, a small -scale war can prevent them from joining NATO.
Obviously, the southern Caucasus region has become an important area for Russia and NATO in the south.Even if you can't turn here into your own, you can't let them fall to NATO!
Therefore, no matter how good Georgia has a relationship with Lao and the United States, it cannot join NATO. After all, its Abuhaz, South Oussem ladder and other places are still in Russia.
Azerbaijan and Armenia also played for several years because of the dispute in the Naka area.They are not qualified to join NATO.The strategic purpose of Russia here is achieved.
Once Che Chen got in touch with Türkiye, he dared not think about the consequences.
The most worried issue in Russia is that the Gaogo Passel region has become the world of Turkey.Turkey has always had the idea of restoring his ancestral industry. Therefore, it is only a matter of time.
Even if the territory does not expand, the external influence must be expanded, which is a new gameplay in modern countries.
For example, Lao Mei is basically not occupying other land, but their army is stationed around the world, and their influence naturally affects all over the world.
Russia's current ideas seem to be old, and they still stay on the concept of opening territory in the feudal era.In fact, it is completely unnecessary. For example, after the self -reliance of Wudong and Crimea, and anxious to let them join the Russian Federation, it is a big defeat and leaving a handle.
Turkey's current relationship with Azerbaijan is very good, and after Azerbaijan defeated Armenia this time, its purpose is not only for the Nakaka region, but also to open up a Zagzer Corridor connected to Flying Nashiwan.
Once the corridor is opened, Azerbaijan can be connected to Turkey unobstructed.In this way, the power of Türkiye can be fully connected to the Black Sea and the Lili Sea.This influence is scary.
Russia is now caught in the Russian and Ukraine War that cannot be extracted. If Turkey has forced Armenia to fall to himself, or fall to NATO, then Russia will be completely lost in the Caucasus region in Russia.After all, Georgia and Russia are also the same as fire.
The bigger problem is that when Turkey's forces came to the Caucasus Mountains, they would inevitably be in touch with the thorn heads in Russia and other Russia.
At that time, Chechen had done things many times, and there was Turkish support behind it.After Turkey is bigger in the Caucasus, it will inevitably contact the Chechen again. The bangs of the beard may be able to do anything at that time.After all, Chechen and Turkey are closer to culture, and there is a sense of tears in the villagers to see fellows.
Pulling in Iran and supporting Armenia together has become the only opportunity for Russia.
Russia is now trapped in the mud, unable to extricate itself, and naturally has no time to ignore Armenia.To this end, they can only ask Iran to set up a handle to temporarily keep Armenia a small country with only 3 million people.
Iran is also an anti -American pioneer. Of course, they want to do this, and their relationship with Armenia is also good.On the contrary, I have a good relationship with Azerbaijan.
After all, Iran has 25 million Azerbaijan people, and is about to move to join Azerbaijan.Only by calming Azerbaijan can I stabilize Iran's northern border.